Roberto Carballes Baena vs Dennis Novak Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Novak has won 42.31% of points on their second serve in the recent six months, whereas Baena has a slightly higher rate with 45.93%. Could this small margin influence the match outcome? It might.
• Regarding return games, Baena outperforms Novak by winning 49.22% of their opponent's second serve points compared to Novak's 47.71%.
• When it comes to handling first serve returns, Novak has a higher success rate at 28.15%, while Baena stands at 26.21%.
• In high-pressure scenarios, Baena shows a stronger defense, saving 60% of breakpoints, while Novak saves 50.93%.
• Overall, considering the past year, Novak has a higher match win percentage of 59.09%, compared to Baena's 42.86%.
• Novak excels on hard surfaces with a 68% win rate, whereas Baena's strongest surface is clay, with a 62% win record.
• Novak has predominantly played in lower-level tournaments, winning 57.58% of matches, while Baena has faced tougher competition on the main tour, winning 40%.
• In their sole head-to-head match, Baena defeated Novak 6-0, 6-2 on clay, suggesting an edge in direct encounters.
• Baena has faced more challenging opponents over the past year (average rank of 122.86 versus Novak's 377.71).
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Novak has outperformed with a 55% win rate, compared to Baena's 44%.
• Novak is slightly more effective in break point conversion, achieving 34.85% compared to Baena's 32.23%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match between Novak and Baena reveals intriguing statistical contrasts. Novak's powerful second serve and solid first serve return performance could provide him with a crucial advantage.

However, Baena's ability to return second serves impressively and effectively handle breakpoints under pressure distinctly highlights his strength. Past head-to-head results, although limited, favor Baena, giving him a psychological edge.

Considering both players' performance strengths and weaknesses, alongside their recent form, Baena seems slightly better positioned to capitalize on opportunities and secure the victory in this anticipated encounter.

Thus, drawing insights from the current data and trends, Baena is more likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.